Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project
Based on Consultations With Nongovernmental Experts Around the World
NIC
から部分を引用。pdfを「文字」にするだけでも意味があるだろう。
p.116
"For Washington, dealing with a rising Asia may be the most challenging of all its regional relationships."
Asia is particularly important as an engine for change over the next 15 years. A key uncertainty is whether the rese of China and India will occur smoothly. A number of issues will be in play, icluding the future of the world trading system, advances in technology, and the shape and scope of globalization. For Washington, dealing with a rising Asia may be the most challengeing of all its regional relationships. One could envisage a range of possibilities from the US enhancing the role as regional balancer between contending forces to Washington being seen as inceasingly irrelevant. Both the Korea and Taiwan issues are likely to come to head, and how they are dealt with will be important factors shaping future US-Asia ties as well as the US role in the region. Japan's position in the region is also likely to be transformed as it faces the challenge of more independent seculity role.
