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6kelo:2016/09/17(土) 07:39:55
トピAnswer:
The developers' claim that a jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, the proposed new jazz club in Monroe, the C-Note, would have the local market all to itself contains several logical flaws, and lends little credibility. Rather than relying solely on groundless reasoning, the reporter needs to consider the following points before making a final conclusion.

First and foremost, the whole reasoning of the developers is based upon an assumption that the jazz fans' population will not change much over time. Let us think about a situation where the population of the jazz fans' is decreasing each year by 0.8 fold. Despite the fact that jazz is extremely popular in Monroe, the decrease in population will obviously lead to an total decrease of the total jass profit in Monroe in the end. Situations like this would weaken the validity of the developers' claim, and in order to verify the claim, detailed investigation on this point must be addressed.

Second, although the developers mentioned that jazz is extremely popular in Monroe, he or she did not touch types of people of lives in the place such as students, working generation and so on. The reporter must be aware of the fact that if a much larger amount of jazz fans' population is students. It is true that students will be fans of jazz music. However, after several years their attention will toward into another hobbies because they can't keep their sustainability. If further investigation of what types of people consis jazz fans showed that such other types of people's can keep their sustainability toward jazz, then, the reporter's claim would become more convincing.

Third, the developers insisted that according to nationwide study, it indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment. The result was nationalwaide. Thus, it can't represents Monroe's jazz fans' tendency. In addition to this, developers didn't show any history of a jazz company in Monroe and bench mark from old companies who had the same line of business. It is obvious that there are many factors that can make this argument more plausible. If more through investigations indicate that opening a new jazz club in Monroe will be tremendously profitable, the developers' claim may become more persuasive.

Fourth, the developers assumes that the result of a jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. Whether this trend is the indication of the jazz music clubs tendency or simply a temporary trend is not clear. At least, at this point, it is too soon to conclude that this trend is due to jazz is extremely popular in Monroe.


As discussed above, the developers' claim is based on several assumptions that are not sufficiently supported. Before arriving at the final conclusion, the reporter should acknowledge that there are many factors that are involved in this story, and undertake additional investigation to clarify the uncertainties pointed out above.(511 words)


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